Tuesday, July 10, 2012

Oddsmaker sees a Phillies turnaround; but not enough to make playoffs

http://blogs.mcall.com/groller/ FROM KEITH GROLLER With as bad as the Phillies were in the first half of the MLB season, you'd expect the odds on them winning the World Series would be at least 100 to 1. But Vegas isn't ready to rule them out just yet. Here are the latest odds courtesy of RJ Bell of Pregame.com, and the Phillies are given the same chance of winning as the Pirates, who have a much better record than the Phils at the break. World Series Odds: Rangers 5 to 1 Yankees 5 to 1 Angels 12 to 1 Nationals 13 to 1 SF Giants 14 to 1 Reds 15 to 1 Dodgers 18 to 1 Braves 19 to 1 Cardinals 20 to 1 Tigers 20 to 1 Red Sox 22 to 1 White Sox 23 to 1 Rays 25 to 1 Phillies 35 to 1 Pirates 35 to 1 Mariners 45 to 1 Marlins 45 to 1 Mets 45 to 1 DBacks 50 to 1 Indians 50 to 1 Orioles 50 to 1 Blue Jays 75 to 1 Brewers 100 to 1 Athletics 200 to 1 Royals 300 to 1 Astros 500 to 1 Rockies 500 to 1 Twins 500 to 1 Cubs 1000 to 1 Padres 1000 to 1 Vegas Projections - MLB Playoffs: AL Division Winners: Rangers Yankees White Sox AL Wild Cards: Angels Red Sox NL Division Winners: Nationals Cardinals Giants NL Wild Cards: Pirates Reds Missing playoffs: Tigers, Dodgers, Baltimore, Rays Vegas Projections - Final MLB Records W L Rangers 96.5 65.5 Nationals 94.5 67.5 Yankees 94 68 Angels 91.5 70.5 Cardinals 90 72 SF Giants 89 73 White Sox 88 74 Pirates 87 75 Reds 86.5 75.5 Red Sox 86 76 Tigers 84.5 77.5 Dodgers 84 78 Orioles 84 78 Rays 83.5 78.5 DBacks 83 79 Mets 83 79 Braves 81 81 Brewers 80.5 81.5 Athletics 80 82 Blue Jays 79.5 82.5 Indians 79 83 Phillies 79 83 Marlins 76.5 85.5 Twins 70.5 91.5 Cubs 69.5 92.5 Royals 69 93 Mariners 68 94 Rockies 67.5 94.5 Astros 65.5 96.5 Padres 65 97 Vegas Projections: Post All-Star Break Records W L Nationals 45.5 33.5 Rangers 44.5 31.5 Cardinals 44 32 Angels 43.5 32.5 SF Giants 43 33 Red Sox 43 33 Yankees 42 35 Phillies 42 33 White Sox 41 36 DBacks 41 36 Tigers 40.5 35.5 Brewers 40.5 36.5 Reds 39.5 37.5 Pirates 39 38 Orioles 39 38 Rays 38.5 37.5 Dodgers 37 38 Mets 37 39 Athletics 37 39 Blue Jays 36.5 39.5 Cubs 36.5 40.5 Marlins 35.5 41.5 Braves 35 42 Indians 35 42 Twins 34.5 42.5 Rockies 34.5 42.5 Astros 32.5 43.5 Royals 32 46 Mariners 32 43 Padres 31 44 Note that Phillies are expected to win 56% (42-33) of games post All-Star break, yet are still projected to finish below .500 for season.

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