Friday, October 04, 2013

NFL trends entering Week 5, including a tidbit on the Eagles-Giants game

http://blogs.mcall.com/groller/

FROM KEITH GROLLER


Below, RJ Bell of Pregame.Com takes a look at some trends entering Week 5 of the NFL season.
RJ Bell, who has been called a "points-spread maven" by USA Today,  is a regular on a variety of media outlets, including a regular slot on the "Loose Cannons" radio show hosted by Pat O'Brien and Steve Hartman and heard every afternoon in the Lehigh Valley on AM-1470 the Fox.
Here are the latest NFL point spreads from Vegas and the Bell's trends:
 
NFL Lines For Week 5 - NFL Football Line Week Five
NFL Line 10/6 - 10/7, 2013

Date & TimeFavoriteLineUnderdogTotal
10/6 1:00 ETKansas City-3At Tennessee39
10/6 1:00 ETAt Miami-3Baltimore43.5
10/6 1:00 ETAt St. Louis-11.5Jacksonville41.5
10/6 1:00 ETAt Cincinnati-1New England45
10/6 1:00 ETSeattle-3At Indianapolis43.5
10/6 1:00 ETAt Green Bay-7Detroit53.5
10/6 1:00 ETNew Orleans-1At Chicago48.5
10/6 1:00 ETAt NY Giants-2Philadelphia54
10/6 4:05 ETCarolina-2At Arizona42.5
10/6 11:35 ETSan Diego-4.5At Oakland45
10/6 4:25 ETDenver-7.5At Dallas57
10/6 8:30 ETAt San Francisco-6.5Houston42.5
Monday Night Football Line
10/7 8:40 ETAt Atlanta-10NY Jets43.5
Bye Weeks: Minnesota, Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay, Washington
RJ Bell's insights:
Cowboys: as a home underdog, 25-11 ATS (since 1990)
Dolphins: as a home favorite, 10-32 ATS

Eagles/Giants: underdog has covered 13 of 16 in series

Falcons: under Coach Smith, off a loss of 6 or more points: 16-0 ATS the next game

Jags: Odds of going 0-16: $100 wins $1000 if YES (10/1) [via bovada]

Lions: after scoring 30 or more points, lost 10 straight ATS the next game

Lions: playing at Green Bay, 0-22 SU (4-17-1 ATS)

Packers: after a loss, 15-2 ATS the next game

Packers: vs. division opponent, 31-11 ATS

Panthers: any road favorite off a bye: 45-12 ATS (79% last 13 seasons)

Patriots: Belichick, as New England’s coach, 67% ATS as an underdog

Rams: favored by 11.5 over Jags – biggest favorite for St. Louis in over 10 seasons

Ravens: won 18 of 20 games after a loss

Saints: under Coach Payton, covered 11 of last 12 regular season games

Seahawks: covered 13 straight vs. teams with a winning record

Seahawks: 15-3 ATS last 18 games

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