Friday, October 25, 2013

NFL line and trends: Eagles haven't covered at home since 2011

http://blogs.mcall.com/groller/

FROM KEITH GROLLER


Here's the latest line on Sunday's NFL games, plus some trends to keep in mind from RJ Bell of Pregame.com.
   
NFL Lines For Week 8 - NFL Football Line Week Eight
NFL Line 10/27 - 10/28, 2013
Date & TimeFavoriteLineUnderdogTotal
10/27 1:00 ETSan Francisco-16.5At Jacksonville40.5
10/27 1:00 ETAt Detroit-3Dallas51
10/27 1:00 ETAt Philadelphia-5.5NY Giants52
10/27 1:00 ETAt Kansas City-7.5Cleveland39
10/27 1:00 ETAt New Orleans-11Buffalo49
10/27 1:00 ETAt New England-6.5Miami45.5
10/27 4:05 ETAt Cincinnati-6.5NY Jets41
10/27 4:05 ETPittsburgh-2.5At Oakland40.5
10/27 4:25 ETAt Denver-12Washington58.5
10/27 4:25 ETAt Arizona-2.5Atlanta45
10/27 8:30 ETGreen Bay-9At Minnesota47.5

Monday Night Football Line
10/28 8:40 ETSeattle-11At St. Louis42.5

Latest trends from RJ Bell of Pregame.com
18 Best Vegas Trends (and remember, ATS, means against the spread):

Bills – week after play Dolphins: 11-36 ATS last 47

Browns – the winner of the game has covered 18 of 19 Cleveland games (the spread has mattered only once)

Cardinals – have not covered as a favorite since the 2011 season

Cardinals – teams who played Seattle last week have not covered a single game this season

Cardinals – teams who played Seattle last week and are favored this week: 3-18 ATS last 21

Cowboys – Underdog has covered 71% of Dallas games the last 4 seasons (39-16 ATS)

Eagles – Have not covered a home game since 2011 (lost 11 straight ATS)

Jags - Winless underdogs (Week 6 or later): 63% ATS (since 1992)

Packers – The home team in Green Bay games have covered 13 of 14

Patriots - off a loss: 24-9 ATS the next game

Patriots – when opponent has lost last two games: 32-12 ATS (in Tom Brady era)

Raiders – have lost 10 straight after a bye (1-9 ATS)

Rams – 11-point home underdogs vs. Seattle: third biggest MNF home underdog since 1990

Rams, Vikings – home teams bigger than 8-point underdogs: 23-3 ATS last 26

Saints – Covered 12 straight at home under Coach Payton

Seahawks – 16-5 ATS last 21 games

Broncos, Cardinals, Giants, Lions:
Teams the week BEFORE a bye (when not playing another team before a bye)
have covered only 10 of 36 games (since start of last season)

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