Monday, January 06, 2014

Vegas NFL odds: Still expecting a Seahawks-Broncos Super Bowl; but don't discount the Chargers

http://blogs.mcall.com/groller/

FROM KEITH GROLLER


The latest odds have already come in on next week's NFL playoff games and the Super Bowl odds and nothing has really changed.
Top seeds Seattle and Denver are still the favorites to play in the Meadowlands on Groundhog's Day.
But one nugget stays in the back of my head. That is that little streak concerning the Eagles' opponent in their home opener.
Four straight years the team that the Eagles played at Lincoln Financial Field in their home opener has gone on to win the Super Bowl.
The Eagles first home game in 2009 was against New Orleans. The Saintsbeat the Colts in Super Bowl XLIV.
In 2010, Green Bay opened up Philadelphia's home schedule and thePackers beat the Steelers in Super Bowl XLV.
In 2011, the Eagles opened at home with the New York Giants and the Giants went on to beat the Patriots in  Super Bowl XLVI.
In 2012, the first regular season game at Lincoln Financial Field featured the Eagles against the Ravens. The Ravens went on to beat the 49ers inSuper Bowl XLVII.
This year's first Eagles home game in the regular season was against San Diego on Sept. 15. That's the same Chargers who upset Cincinnati on Sunday and will play at Denver this Sunday.
Based on this trend alone, I wouldn't pick against San Diego.
But Vegas is still going with Denver and Seattle as favorites. Here's the report from RJ Bell of Pregame.com:
Las Vegas, Nevada (January 5, 2014) - from RJ Bell of Pregame.com
BCS Title Game

Florida State -10.5 vs. Auburn

In the 15 prior BCS Title games, the spread has NEVER mattered (either the has favorite covered or the underdog has won outright EVERY game)

The favorite has won and covered SIX straight BCS Title Games

Before the season, Auburn was a 1000/1 long shot to win BCS Title
Early Division Round Spreads:

Seattle -8.5 hosting New Orleans

New England -7.5 hosting Indianapolis

San Francisco -1 at Carolina

Denver -10 hosting San Diego

Updated Super Bowl Odds (via LVH)
($100 wins . . . )

Denver +225
Seattle +225
San Fran +450
New England +700
Carolina +1000
New Orleans +1500
San Diego +1500
Colts +2000
Colts Comeback versus KC:

When Indianapolis trailed by 28 points, they were 15/1 underdogs to win the game ($100 won $1500 on the Colts to comeback and win)

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