Friday, November 15, 2013

NFL line and betting trends: Steelers in rare spot; Eagles back at a bad spot

http://blogs.mcall.com/groller/

FROM KEITH GROLLER


The Steelers are a home underdog in a regular season game for just the sixth time since 2001 as they take on the Lions this Sunday.
And the Eagles, fresh off a pair of road wins, are back at Lincoln Financial Field against the Redskins. And for the Birds, home is where the losses are, both on the scoreboard and for bettors.
Those are two of the betting trends from RJ Bell of Pregame.Com to ponder as we enter Week 11 of the NFL season.
Here is the latest line and then all of the trends from Pregame.Com and remember, ATS means (against the spread) and SU means (straight up).:
NFL Lines For Week 11 - NFL Football Line Week Eleven
NFL Line 11/17 - 11/18, 2013
Date & TimeFavoriteLineUnderdogTotal
11/17 1:00 ETAtlanta-1.5At Tampa Bay43.5
11/17 1:00 ETAt Buffalo-1NY Jets41
11/17 1:00 ETDetroit-2.5At Pittsburgh47.5
11/17 1:00 ETAt Philadelphia-3.5Washington52.5
11/17 4:05 ETSan Diego-1.5At Miami45.5
11/17 1:00 ETAt Chicago-3Baltimore46
11/17 1:00 ETAt Cincinnati-6Cleveland42
11/17 1:00 ETAt Houston-7Oakland42
11/17 1:00 ETArizona-7At Jacksonville41.5
11/17 8:30 ETAt Denver-8Kansas City49.5
11/17 4:25 ETAt Seattle-12.5Minnesota46
11/17 4:25 ETAt New Orleans-3San Francisco47.5
11/17 4:25 ETAt NY Giants-5Green Bay42

Monday Night Football Line
     
11/18 8:40 ETAt Carolina-2.5New England46
Bye Weeks: Dallas, St. Louis.
NFL: Top 24 Vegas Trends

49ers – Coach Harbaugh vs. teams with a win percentage of .700 or better: 10-0 ATS

Bears – Second of back-to-back home games: covered only 1 of 14

Bengals (-6 hosting Browns) – When Cincinnati plays Cleveland: Favorite has covered only 1 of last 13

Bills – Home team in Buffalo games: 11-1 ATS

Bills (-1 hosting Jets) – First time favored this season

Bills: Any team favored the week after playing Steelers: 13-33 ATS

Browns, Bucs, Jets, Vikings – Any team off win as home dog: 4-20 ATS the next game

Bucs – Last 42 home games, have not once covered two straight home games

Bucs (+1 hosting Atlanta) – As a home underdog: 5-19 ATS

Cardinals (-8 at Jacksonville) – Biggest road favorite for Arizona since 12/20/2009

Chiefs (+8 at Denver) – First time any 9-0 or better team has been an underdog of any size in any game (since at least 1990)

Chiefs – Undefeated teams (4-0 or better) off a bye: 13-1 ATS

Chiefs – Coach Reid off a bye: 14-1 SU (11-4 ATS)

Chiefs – Coach Reid on the road in his career: 76-47 ATS (63%)

Dolphins – Any home team off a loss as a road favorite: 14-2 ATS the next game

Eagles – Have not covered a home game since 2011 (losing 12 straight ATS as well as 20 of last 23)

Falcons – Off loss by 6 or more points: 16-3 ATS the next game

Falcons (-1 at Tampa Bay) – Any team favored the week after playing Seattle: 4-18 ATS

Packers – 20-9 ATS as underdogs

Patriots – Bill Belichick as an underdog: 36-18-1 ATS

Patriots – On Monday Night Football: 11-1 SU (9-3 ATS)

Saints (-3 hosting 49ers) – Only third time in four seasons New Orleans under Coach Payton is not bigger than a field goal favorite at home

Saints – Covered 14 straight at home under Coach Payton (odds of this happening randomly: 16,383 to 1)

Steelers (+2.5 hosting Lions): Only 6th time Pittsburgh is a regular season home underdog since 2001



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