Monday, April 01, 2013

Vegas favors a Michigan-Louisville national championship game

http://blogs.mcall.com/groller/

FROM KEITH GROLLER


It's April Fool's Day, but there's no foolin' around in Vegas where sports wagering is at a feverish pitch with the start of baseball season and the NCAA tournament now down to its Final Four.
Vegas likes Michigan, slightly, over Syracuse and Louisville big over Wichita State.
Here are those numbers and much, much more from RJ Bell of Pregame.com.
Early Lines:

Michigan favored by 2-points vs. Syracuse.

Louisville favored by 10-points vs. Wichita St
SECOND biggest Final Four favorite in 64-team era (since 1985)
The biggest Final Four favorite: Duke -11 vs. Michigan St in 1999

Bracket History:
116 Final Four teams in modern era (since 1985),
Wichita St is only the FOURTH to be seeded worse than #8.

The Final Four has included exactly ONE or TWO #1 seeds 23 of 29 years.

62% of Final Four teams in modern era (since 1985) have been a #1 or #2 seed.

Only ONE team worse than #6 seed has made the FINALS in last 27 years.

Since Tournament seating began in 1979, #1 seeds have met in the Finals only 6 times.
For the 29th time in 35 years #1 seeds will NOT meet in THE 2013 Finals.

17 of 28 National Champions in modern era have been #1 seeds.

For 24 straight years the champion has been a #4 seed or better!

MLB

2013 World Series Odds:

Detroit Tigers
9
to
1
LA Dodgers
9
to
1
LA Angels
10
to
1
Wash Nationals
10
to
1
Toronto Blue Jays
11
to
1
Cincinnati Reds
12
to
1
SF Giants
12
to
1
Atlanta Braves
16
to
1
Philadelphia Phillies
16
to
1
Tampa Bay Rays
16
to
1
Texas Rangers
16
to
1
NY Yankees
20
to
1
St Louis Cards
20
to
1
Boston Red Sox
28
to
1
Oakland Athletics
35
to
1
Chicago WS
40
to
1
Baltimore Orioles
50
to
1
KC Royals
50
to
1
Arizona D'Backs
60
to
1
Milw Brewers
65
to
1
Pittsburgh Pirates
80
to
1
New York Mets
100
to
1
Cleveland Indians
100
to
1
Minnesota Twins
100
to
1
San Diego Padres
100
to
1
Seattle Mariners
100
to
1
Chicago Cubs
125
to
1
Colorado Rockies
150
to
1
Miami Marlins
300
to
1
Houston Astros
350
to
1


Last 5 World Series Champs, odds entering season:
2012: Giants: +2000
2011: Cards: +2200
2010: Giants: +2500
2009: Yankees +500
2008: Phillies +2800

Yankees Odds entering last 5 seasons
2012: +600
2011: +650
2010: +325
2009: +500
2008: +650

Win Total Odds:

Detroit Tigers
92.5
Wash Nationals
92
LA Angels
92
LA Dodgers
91.5
Cincinnati Reds
90.5
Tor Blue Jays
88.5
SF Giants
88
Atlanta Braves
87.5
St. Louis Cards
86.5
Texas Rangers
86.5
TB Rays
85.5
NY Yankees
85
Oakland A’s
84
Philadelphia Phillies
84
Boston Red Sox
83.5
Arizona Dbacks
82.5
Chicago WS
81
Milw Brewers
80.5
Baltimore Orioles
78.5
Cleveland Indians
78.5
KC Royals
78.5
Seattle Mariners
78
Pittsburgh Pirates
77
New York Mets
74.5
San Diego Padres
74
Chicago Cubs
72.5
Colorado Rockies
71
Minnesota Twins
68
Miami Marlins
63.5
Houston Astros
59

Projected Playoff Teams (based on Win Totals)

AL East: Blue Jays
AL Central: Tigers
AL West: Angels
AL Wildcard #1: Rangers
AL Wildcard #2: Rays
NL East: Nationals
NL Central: Reds
NL West: Dodgers
NL Wildcard #1: Giants
NL Wildcard #2: Braves
Best teams missing playoffs: Yankees, Cardinals

League-Wide Props:

Most home runs by ANY player: over/under 44.5
Most RBIs by ANY player: over/under 131.5
Most hits by ANY player: over/under 212.5
Most pitching wins by ANY player: over/under 21
Most pitching losses by ANY player: over/under 16.5
Most pitching complete games by ANY player: over/under 6.5
Most saves by ANY player: over/under 48
Player Props:

Most HRs

Giancarlo Stanton: o/u 37.5
Miquel Cabrera: o/u 36
Jose Bautista: o/u 35.5
Albert Pujols: o/u 34
Prince Fielder: o/u 33.5
Jay Bruce: o/u 32.5
Ryan Braun: o/u 31.5
Ryan Howard: o/u 31
Adam Dunn: o/u 30.5
Matt Kemp: o/u 30.5
Josh Hamilton: o/u 29.5
Mark Trumbo: o/u 29.5
Edwin Encarnacion: o/u 29
Robinson Cano: o/u 28.5
Evan Longoria: o/u 28.5
Bryce Harper: o/u 28
Joey Votto: o/u 27.5
Troy Tulowitzki: o/u 27.5
Carlos Gonzalex: o/u 27.5
Yoenis Cespedes: o/u 27
Mike Trout: o/u 26.5
Anthony Rizzo: o/u 26.5
Justin Upton: o/u 26
Adrian Gonzalex: o/u 26
Adam Jones: o/u 25.5
Jason Heyward: o/u 25.5

Most Hits

Mike Trout: o/u 181.5
Starlin Castro: o/u 177.5
Jose Reyes: o/u 174.5
Billy Butler: o/u 171.5
Andrew McCutchen: o/u 170.5
Alex Gordon: o/u 167.5
Bryce Harper: o/u 166.5
Melky Cabrera: o/u 165.5
Joe Mauer: o/u 165.5
Adam Jones: o/u 163.5
Buster Posey: o/u 160/5

Most Pitching Wins

Justin Verlander: o/u 17.5
Clayton Kershaw: o/u 17
Jared Weaver: o/u 16
Stephen Strasburg: o/u 15.5
David Price: o/u 15.5
Zach Greinke: o/u 15
Felix Hernandez: o/u 15
Gio Gonzalez: o/u 15
CC Sabathia: o/u 14.5

Saves: Mariano Rivera: o/u 29.5

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