Friday, November 08, 2013

The NFL line and trends for Sunday: Why the Eagles are happy to be on the road again

http://blogs.mcall.com/groller/

FROM KEITH GROLLER


The Philadelphia Eagles play at the Green Bay Packers on Sunday, which is a very good thing because it seems like the Eagles can't lose on the road (except in Denver) and can't win at the Linc.
Vegas has taken notice. The trend is definitely to bet on the road team in any Eagles game.
Here's the latest line for this week's games followed by the top 20 NFL betting trends for Week 10 from RJ Bell of Pregame.com. And remember, ATS means Against The Spread.
NFL Lines For Week 10 - NFL Football Line Week Ten
NFL Line 11/10 - 11/11, 2013
Date & TimeFavoriteLineUnderdogTotal
11/10 1:00 ETAt Tennessee-13Jacksonville41
11/10 1:00 ETAt Green Bay-1Philadelphia47
11/10 1:00 ETAt Pittsburgh-3Buffalo43.5
11/10 1:00 ETAt NY Giants-7Oakland43.5
11/10 1:00 ETAt Indianapolis-9.5St. Louis44
11/10 1:00 ETSeattle-5.5At Atlanta44.5
11/10 1:00 ETCincinnati-1.5At Baltimore44
11/10 1:00 ETAt Chicago PKDetroit52
11/10 4:05 ETAt San Francisco-6Carolina43
11/10 4:25 ETAt Arizona-3Houston41
11/10 4:25 ETDenver-7At San Diego58
11/10 8:30 ETAt New Orleans-6.5Dallas54

Monday Night Football Line
     
11/11 8:40 ETMiami-2.5At Tampa Bay41.5
NFL: Top 20 Vegas Trends

49ers – At home under Harbaugh: 18-5-1 ATS

Bills - Home team in Buffalo games has covered 10 of 11
Broncos – Any road favorite off a bye: 47-14 ATS (77% last 13 seasons)

Bucs – As home underdog: 4-19 ATS
Bucs – Last 41 home games, have never once covered the spread two straight home games
Chargers – First time in 10 seasons a touchdown or greater underdog at home
Cowboys – As underdogs by more than a field goal: 11-1 ATS

Eagles - Road team in Philly games has covered 13 of last 15

Falcons - Off a loss by 6+ points: 16-2 ATS the next game

Giants - Only third 2-6 team in 25 seasons to be favored by a touchdown or more

Jags – Winless teams off bye: 28-11 ATS

Jags – Teams off 30+ point loss off bye: 14-4 ATS

Lions – After scoring 30 points: lost 12 straight ATS the next game

Packers - Absence of Rogers worth 7.5 points to pointspread

Packers - Home team in Green Bay games has covered 13 of last 16

Ravens – Off a loss: 19-4 SU the next game

Ravens – Only 14th time since 1980 that the defending champion is a home underdog
Saints – Under Coach Payton at home: Covered 13 STRAIGHT

Saints – Under Coach Payton, off a loss: 15-4 ATS the next game

Titans - First time double digit favorites since 2009

College Football:

Alabama favored by 12.5 hosting LSU
51st straight game Alabama has been favored
Favored by an average of over three touchdowns during those 51 games
Last time not favored: 12/5/2009 vs. Florida
12.5 is the most points Alabama has been favored over LSU since 1999

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