Friday, October 18, 2013

Some Eagles-Cowboys and other NFL trends to consider entering another big Sunday

http://blogs.mcall.com/groller/

FROM KEITH GROLLER


The Eagles are a three-point favorite over the Cowboys on Sunday in the battle of 3-3 teams hoping to take over first place in the NFC East.
But the Eagles haven't been very successful at home. In fact, they haven't been successful at the Linc at all since beating the Giants on a Sunday Night game more than a year ago.
So, there's obviously a negative trend there when it comes to picking winners against the spread this Sunday.
Here is a look at the latest Vegas line and then RJ Bell of Pregame.com has 20 top trends to consider when making your selections (for amusement purposes only) for Sunday and Monday night. And remember, ATS means Against The Spread:
 
NFL Lines For Week 7 - NFL Football Line Week Seven
NFL Line 10/20 - 10/21, 2013
Date & TimeFavoriteLineUnderdogTotal
10/20 1:00 ETNew England-3.5At NY Jets43.5
10/20 1:00 ETSan Diego-7.5At Jacksonville45.5
10/20 4:25 ETAt Kansas City-6.5Houston39.5
10/20 1:00 ETAt Detroit-2.5Cincinnati47
10/20 1:00 ETAt Miami-7.5Buffalo42.5
10/20 1:00 ETAt Washington PKChicago50.5
10/20 1:00 ETAt Philadelphia-3Dallas55.5
10/20 1:00 ETAt Carolina-6.5St. Louis42
10/20 1:00 ETAt Atlanta-7Tampa Bay42.5
10/20 4:05 ETSan Francisco-4At Tennessee40
10/20 4:25 ETAt Green Bay-10Cleveland46
10/20 4:25 ETAt Pittsburgh-2Baltimore40.5
10/20 8:30 ETDenver-6.5At Indianapolis56

Monday Night Football Line
10/21 8:40 ETAt NY Giants-3.5Minnesota
47
  


20 Best Vegas Trends:

Bucs, Jags – winless underdogs (Week 6 or later): 64% ATS (since 1992)

Colts - as a home underdog with Luck as QB: 5-0 SU and ATS

Colts - off a loss with Luck as QB: 6-0 SU and ATS

Cowboys – after winning a game, 4-15 ATS the next game

Eagles - have lost 10 straight ATS at home (7-24 ATS last 31 at home)

Eagles – the three teams that have beaten Philly have a combined 15-3 record this season

Dolphins - as a home favorite of 6 or more points: 1-11 ATS last 12

Dolphins - favored by 7.5 against Bills: most points Miami has been favored by in FOUR seasons

Falcons - only FOURTH team with a 1-4 record to be favored by more than a touchdown (last 25 seasons)

Falcons – after a straight up lost: 21-5 ATS the next game

Giants – first team with an 0-6 record to be favored by over a field goal in at least 25 seasons

Jags – have scored a total of 5 points at home this season

Lions – after scoring 30 or more points, Detroit has lost 11 straight ATS the next game

Packers – the home team in Green Bay’s games have covered 12 of 13 ATS

Packers – after an ATS loss, 16-2 ATS the next game

Patriots - teams who played the Saints last week, are 46-80 ATS (37%) the next game

Patriots – New England have covered 12 of 14 when playing the Jets in New York

Redskins – Coach Shanahan as a home favorite (in Washington and Denver): 5-22 ATS last 27

Texans – have lost 8 straight regular season games ATS

Bears, Chargers, Colts, Ravens, Texans, Titans are all teams that have a bye the following week.
Teams the week BEFORE a bye (when not playing another team that's right before a bye)
have covered only 7 of 30 games (since start of last season

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