FROM KEITH GROLLER
RJ Bell of Pregame.com has some insights into how Sunday's NFL games will go, particularly in Las Vegas where the point spreads matter more than the final score.
He even has the odds on Walter White's future in the series finale of the popular "Breaking Bad" TV show on Sunday night.
Here's Bell's insights and remember ATS means "against the spread":
Atlanta: The next game after a loss: Falcons have covered 21 of 24!
Cincinnati: lost only 3 of last 17 road games against the spread.
Dallas: 4-14 ATS after winning a game.
Denver, Philadelphia: Over/Under Point Total = 58 (2nd highest NFL Total since 2004!)
Indy: Colts +10.5 last week on road; -8.5 on road this week. 19-point relative spread improvement. Only one other team in last 25 years has matched that!
Jacksonville: Home underdogs getting MORE than 8-points are 23-2 ATS last 25!
Jacksonville: Last 27 games, Jags 3-1 straight-up vs. Colts; 2-21 straight-up vs. rest of NFL.
Miami: Visitor in Dolphins games, 52-30 against the spread.
New England: Under Coach Belichick, Patriots have covered 66% as underdog.
New Orleans: Under Coach Payton, Saints have covered 11 straight at home.
Philadelphia: Last 13 games, defense has given up 31 touchdowns with only 3 interceptions!
Seattle: 39% against the spread on the road (from 2005) – less than .500 under Coach Carroll.
Seattle: Covered 12 straight vs. teams with a winning record.
Tampa Bay: Last 39 home games, Bucs have never covered the spread two straight home games!
Breaking Bad Prop (via BetOnline):
65% chance Walter White dies in the finale ($100 wins $170 if he does NOT)
Cincinnati: lost only 3 of last 17 road games against the spread.
Dallas: 4-14 ATS after winning a game.
Denver, Philadelphia: Over/Under Point Total = 58 (2nd highest NFL Total since 2004!)
Indy: Colts +10.5 last week on road; -8.5 on road this week. 19-point relative spread improvement. Only one other team in last 25 years has matched that!
Jacksonville: Home underdogs getting MORE than 8-points are 23-2 ATS last 25!
Jacksonville: Last 27 games, Jags 3-1 straight-up vs. Colts; 2-21 straight-up vs. rest of NFL.
Miami: Visitor in Dolphins games, 52-30 against the spread.
New England: Under Coach Belichick, Patriots have covered 66% as underdog.
New Orleans: Under Coach Payton, Saints have covered 11 straight at home.
Philadelphia: Last 13 games, defense has given up 31 touchdowns with only 3 interceptions!
Seattle: 39% against the spread on the road (from 2005) – less than .500 under Coach Carroll.
Seattle: Covered 12 straight vs. teams with a winning record.
Tampa Bay: Last 39 home games, Bucs have never covered the spread two straight home games!
Breaking Bad Prop (via BetOnline):
65% chance Walter White dies in the finale ($100 wins $170 if he does NOT)
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