Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Vegas: Florida Gulf Coast and La Salle remain huge longshots in NCAA tourney

http://blogs.mcall.com/groller/

FROM KEITH GROLLER


They have been a lot of fun to watch, Florida Gulf Coast and La Salle. The Explorers, in particular, have increased interest around the Philly area.
But it's highly unlikely that their stunning runs will continue much longer.
Vegas still has very long odds against of them winning the tournament, and even for them to win their next games and reach the Elite 8 would be surprising.
Here are the updates and other tidbits of information, including some on the Miami Heat, from RJ Bell of Pregame.com:
Elite 8:

Out of 224 Elite 8 teams in the modern era (since change to 64-team bracket in 1985)
ONLY ONE has been seeded worse than #11 (meaning Florida Gulf Coast, Oregon, or La Salle wins would make history)

March Madness Recap:

Up to and including 2011, 15-seeds had won 2 of 108 games against 2-seeds.
In the last two tournaments, 15-seeds have won 3 of 8 games against 2-seeds.

Entering Sunday’s games, only 7 of the 456 (1.5%) Sweet 16 in the modern-tournament era (since 1985)
were seeded worse than #12. On Sunday, 2 of the 8 (25%) teams advancing were seeded worse than #12.

At least one double digit seed has now made the Sweet Sixteen 27 of 29 years.

Before the tournament started, you could bet $1 to win $1,000 on Florida Golf Coast winning the South Region.

Title Odds:

Louisville: 3/1
Indiana: 5/1
Florida: 5/1
Miami Fl: 7/1
Ohio State: 8/1
Duke: 10/1
Kansas: 12/1
Michigan: 12/1
Michigan St: 14/1
Syracuse: 20/1
Arizona: 25/1
Wichita St: 40/1
Marquette: 50/1
Oregon: 60/1
Lasalle: 75/1
Florida Gulf Coast: 100/1

--


Heat 27-Game Win Streak:

If you had started with $100,
and let it ride on Miami winning each of its last 26 games,
you would have won $70,744 (and counting!)
Meaning the Vegas odds against this win streak equal 707 to 1

During win streak, Heat have covered 16 and lost 11 against the spread.
If you bet $100 on Miami each game against the spread, you would have won only $390

Heat have been favored in 26 of these 27 games
(at OKC on 2/14/13 the lone underdog exception)

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